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Hand Evaluation Part II

Brian Senior

The difference is not quite so great this time, but hand (iii) has an important edge over hand (iv) nonetheless. It is that all its honours are in useful combinations. Even without fitting honours in partner's hand, this means that you have suits you can play on, while if partner does deliver a fitting honour any of the three suits could be a very useful source of tricks. Conversely, hand (iv) includes unsupported honours and less attractive honour combinations. The Q would be an excellent fitting card, but in most suits a single fitting honour will not create a suit on which you can play without running the risk of establishing extra defensive tricks.

(v) 63  (vi) QJ
K83  AQJ
QJ84 K843

AQJ5

8653

The same shape and the same honour cards, but hand (v) has the edge because there are more honour cards in the long suits where, not only might they make tricks in their own right, but where they might help to establish extra length tricks. Honours in a short suit may still win tricks themselves, but they are less likely to help to establish length tricks.

(vii) 98643 (vii) AQ986
AQ 43
KQ 32

J832

KQJ8

Again we see two hands with the same shape and honour cards, but I hope you can see that hand (viii) is much the stronger. The doubleton honours in hand (vii) are not pulling their weight at all.

Consider that you hope to find a trump fit with partner and that the most likely place to find one is in one of your long suits. Either black suit in hand (vii) would require partner to hold a number of honours as well as length if you were not to have trump losers, while just one honour may be sufficient opposite one of hand (viii)'s black suits.

Quite apart from anything else, the one suit in which you cannot avoid losing whatever tricks are due is the trump suit, in any other suit you have the prospect of discarding losers on winners in another suit.

Again, if you play a very aggressive style, you might wish to open both of this pair of hands. Really, however, only hand (viii) looks like an opening bid to me. Hand (vii) has plenty of defensive values but has a lot of potential losers as declarer or dummy, so it makes more sense to Pass. You can always reevaluate your hand if partner opens the bidding but it is hard to see what you will miss if partner cannot open, and you certainly do not want to open 1 and encourage him to lead a spade if you end up on defence.

(ix) A84 (x) A84
K5 K65
AJ1096 AJ109

1095

1095

A long suit can be a useful source of extra tricks. Imagine that partner has three small cards opposite your AJ10; you have a good chance of taking two tricks; opposite AJ109, you are favourite to take three tricks; opposite AJ1096 you rate to make four tricks.

On that basis, hand (ix) will often be a full trick better than hand (x). Though the difference will not be quite as great if partner holds only a small singleton or doubleton, the extra card may still prove useful so to count both hands as being worth 12 HCP can hardly be correct.

Suppose that you opened each hand with a weak no trump and partner invited 3NT. Even with hand (x) you are close to being worth a game bid as, though you have only 12 HCP, the diamond intermediates are a significant plus feature (much better than AJxx), worth almost a full HCP. Hand (ix) should be an automatic 3NT bid. The combination of long suit plus intermediates makes this into a maximum, despite its mere 12 HCP.

Though even the beginner is taught to add a point for a five card suit, this should not be considered to be an absolute rule.

(xi) KQ8 (xii) AQ8
QJ5 QJ7
KQ1092 107643

85

A9

While the diamond suit in hand (xi) looks as though it may provide several tricks and so justifys upgrading the hand by at least a point, that in (xii) will require a lot of work to establish. While all the honours in (xii) are O.K. I would not consider the fifth diamond to be much of a plus feature at all and would value the hand at its basic 13 points . Once again , if we had opened with a weak no trump and heard partner make an invitational raise, hand (xi) would have an automatic acceptance while hand (xii) would be much closer, though I suppose that I would bid the game, I would not be at all surprised to find it going down. I hope that I am starting to convince you that there is more to judging a hand than just counting HCP


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